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Gentry Wilson Partners – China Debt Continues to Rise

TAIPEI CITY, Taiwan -- After the poorest quarterly performance in almost three decades during the period from April to June this year, Gentry Wilson Partners analysts say China is clearly facing serious economic challenges. The world's second largest economy was once the most rapidly expanding, benefitting from inexpensive labor and sizeable government spending on infrastructure.

These days, China is fighting economic battles on both its domestic and international fronts. On the one hand, the prolonged trade spat with the US caused China's exports to decline last month as the impact of tariffs on goods to the value of hundreds of billions of dollars hit hard. On the other hand, imports also declined last month as domestic demand weakened. Although retail sales were better than anticipated, the rate of expansion was still the slowest seen since 2004.

With China targeting a GDP of between 6 and 6.5% for this year, Gentry Wilson Partners analysts believe the government faces a difficult task of trying to balance the need for economic stimulus and avoid adding to the already high levels of debt.

Growing debt levels have left China with less room to maneuver and the tactics that worked well to deal with the financial crisis a decade ago are no longer feasible options. When the financial crisis caused worldwide panic, China responded quickly with a massive stimulus package which helped the economy surpass Japan's as the world's second largest in 2010.

But, as of this month, China's debt level stands at 310% of GDP, approximately 15% percent of the world's debt. Gentry Wilson Partners analysts say this means massive stimulus is not an option and the government will need to find creative ways to help shore up the weakening economy.

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Ward Henderson Management – Germany’s Economic Gloom Could Continue

TAIPEI, Taiwan -- Ward Henderson Management - German economy shows signs of weakening further due to downside risks. In May, an important indicator of overall economic health, declined by more than expected. Germany's manufacturing industry reported poor growth, prompting concerns about the Eurozone's economic wellbeing.

Ward Henderson Management analysts say a sharp decline in foreign demand is affecting factories throughout the Eurozone, prompting speculation that the European Central Bank may be forced to resort to stimulus befitting a financial crisis. Germany in particular is experiencing the manufacturing downturn with new orders falling by 2.2% on a monthly basis in May, down 8.6% from the same time last year.

Earlier this month, Germany's 10-year Bund yield reached an almost historic low point of minus 0.4% as many analysts predict that the European Central Bank will opt to deliver more stimulus to cope with the slowdown.

Analysts at Ward Henderson Management say the recent data does not spell good news for Germany's short-term economic outlook. Germany's economy likely contracted in the second quarter of this year and the chances of making a recovery in the third quarter seem to be diminishing.

While much of Europe has dealt well enough with the manufacturing slowdown, Germany is showing signs of strain. Germany's labor market is weakening and Ward Henderson Management analysts believe that that, combined with major downside risks including global trade tensions, geopolitical concerns and the fallout from Brexit will likely cause Germany's economy to weaken further in the coming months.

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Warrington Shaw – Singapore Factories Stop Hiring Amid Falling Exports

TAIPEI, Taiwan -- Warrington Shaw says Singapore's exports hurt by falling demand from China as trade war escalates. A recent dramatic decline in Singapore's exports has underlined the seriousness of economic problems in Asia. Singapore is traditionally one of the world's most trade-dependent economies and economists at Warrington Shaw say this makes it a good gauge for the health of other economies in the region.

Warrington Shaw economists blame the prolonged and escalating trade war between the US and China for Singapore's falling exports. In May, Singapore's non-oil domestic exports dropped by 15.9 percent making it the biggest fall in more than three years.

As the trade dispute between China and the US rages on with no signs of abating, demand from China is rapidly waning. For Singapore, a significant drop in exports to China contributed most to the overall decline.

Recent trade war developments mean that the US-China spat may end up becoming a tech war given recent bans on Chinese tech giants.

Warrington Shaw analysts say the fall in Singapore's exports echoes a global decrease in demand for electronics. The global technology slowdown could be hurting Asian economies even more than the trade war at this point.

Singapore's declining demand is evident in decreased factory activity. As orders fail to come in, many factories in the Southeast Asian country are sitting with more inventory than they need and many have made the call to cease hiring.

In the first quarter of this year, Singapore's economy expanded at its weakest pace in ten years and in May, the country slashed its growth predictions to between 1.5 and 2.5 percent for 2019.

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Ward Henderson Management – Fed Could Cut Interest Rates

TAIPEI, Taiwan -- Analysts at Taipei, Taiwan based Ward Henderson Management say recent developments in the trade war between the U.S. and China and trade problems between the US and other countries may prompt the U.S. Federal Reserve to cut interest rates during the course of this year.

Although U.S. President Donald Trump has been calling on the Fed to cut interest rates to boost the U.S. economy, Trump's recent trade-related actions are the reason the Fed is considering an interest rate cut.

Trump recently escalated trade tensions when he increased tariffs on thousands of Chinese imports from 10% to 25%, causing optimism about an imminent end to the trade deal to fade. Last week, Trump announced that the US would levy tariffs on imports from Mexico unless the country managed to reduce the flow of migrants entering the U.S. Trump is also waging a war on almost every other major U.S. trading partner.

These moves have prompted widespread concern about the outlook for the U.S. economy and Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell recently indicated that the central bank would consider a rate cut if trade tensions cause US economic growth to weaken.

With little chance of a trade deal being reached between the US and China before year end, Ward Henderson Management analysts predict that an interest rate cut could happen as soon as September this year and anticipate a reduction of as much as three quarters of a percent by 2020.

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Radford Taylor Partners – Singapore’s Economic Outlook Gloomy

TAIPEI, Taiwan -- The writing was on the wall for Singapore's economy when the country's non-oil exports extended their double-digit decline for the second straight month prompting renewed concern from Radford Taylor Partners analysts that GDP forecasts would be cut for 2019.

With no real end in sight to the trade tensions between China and the United States, Radford Taylor Partners analysts say Singapore's exporters will be in for a struggle this year as they also face the impact of a global economic slowdown and a tech down-cycle.

Radford Taylor Partners analysts' concerns were validated when Singapore's Ministry of Trade and Industry slashed its forecast for this year's GDP. The previously estimated range of growth was 1.5 to 3.5 percent but this was reduced to between 1.5 and 2.5 percent earlier this week.

The downgraded prediction followed the news that Singapore's economy expanded by less than expected during the period from January to March this year. Economists had anticipated that the country's trade-dependent economy would expand by 1.5 percent in the first quarter but disappointing data revealed expansion of only 1.2 percent. Radford Taylor Partners analysts say this makes this year's first quarter the worst performing for almost a decade.

Radford Taylor Partners analysts blamed the ongoing trade tensions between the US and China as well as a regional slowdown for the disappointing growth. In addition, exports including electronics have been steadily declining over the past few months.

Although Singapore's Minister of Trade Relations stated last week that the country was not yet concerned about the impact of global trade tensions, Radford Taylor Partners analysts say the updated outlook indicates otherwise. Slowing growth in China, a key trading partner, the escalating trade tensions between the world's two largest economies and uncertainty in Europe surrounding the outcome of Brexit will likely pose a strong threat to Singapore's economic expansion in 2019.

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Warrington Shaw Says Prolonged Trade War Will Devastate US Farmers

TAIPEI, Taiwan -- Warrington Shaw analysts say U.S. farmers will miss out on more earning potential as China hits back at Trump's punitive import tariffs. For months, U.S. President Donald Trump and members of his administration have been providing encouraging updates on the supposed progress of negotiations with China as the world's two largest economies seek to reach a trade agreement that would see the reversal of hefty tariffs imposed on imports during the course of the last year.

U.S. farmers have stood firmly behind Trump and his efforts to broker a better trade deal with China even as tariffs have impacted their earnings and, in some cases, crippled their operations. Warrington Shaw analysts say many U.S. farmers who helped elect Trump are reporting their lowest incomes in more than a decade.

On Monday, Trump unexpectedly hiked tariffs on Chinese goods to the value of $200 billion causing China to retaliate by raising duties on $60 billion-worth of US products. The new higher tariffs imposed by China target a sweeping range of agriculture products and Warrington Shaw analysts say U.S. farmers could be hit hardest.

U.S. farmers have, in effect, been battling the fallout of higher tariffs for the better part of a year and Warrington Shaw analysts say this latest round of tariffs could prove too much for many of them to bear.

Trump has stated that the country's farmers will receive $15 billion dollars-worth of assistance to help offset the impact of China's retaliatory tariffs but analysts at Warrington Shaw say this show of support may not be enough to appease U.S. farmers who are running short of patience as the trade war shows no sign of abating.

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Ward Henderson Management Weighs Impact of Brexit Delay

TAIPEI, Taiwan -- Ward Henderson Management analysts say relief brought by Brexit extension could come at a hefty price. Last month, with less than 48 hours before the originally scheduled date of departure, European Union leaders agreed to extend the Brexit deadline to 31 October this year with a review scheduled for the end of June.

UK Prime Minister Theresa May had requested an extension until 30th June but European Union leaders rejected this time frame saying that this was an unrealistic deadline.

After many months of back and forth with little progress being made in Brexit negotiations, Ward Henderson Management analysts say many have felt a sense of relief since the extension was granted but the road leading to Britain's eventual departure from the EU is still littered with significant obstacles and the extension itself could exacerbate an already messy situation.

For the most part the Brexit delay seems to have had a positive impact on economic data in the short term.

In the UK, the services sector returned to marginal growth last month with a closely monitored index rising just above the 50.0 mark that separates contraction from growth. Ward Henderson Management analysts believe the slight improvement can be attributed to the delay of the threat of a no-deal Brexit.

The UK travel sector has also benefited from the news that the Brexit deadline would be extended with leading airlines reporting significant gains after the extension was announced.

In Germany, investor morale improved for the sixth consecutive month last month with the Brexit delay and better than expected resilience in the global economy fueling the increased optimism.

But analysts at Ward Henderson Management have warned that the Brexit delay could hurt small businesses. A prolonged period of uncertainty with no definite ending affects companies' ability to plan for possible outcomes.

Brexit negotiations have already cost the UK economy dearly and the extension will only increase the cost. Britain's economy is already 2 percent smaller than it would have been if the country had chosen to remain in the European Union.

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Radford Taylor Partners to Attend Hong Kong Conference

TAIPEI, Taiwan -- Taipei, Taiwan based investment house, Radford Taylor Partners is pleased to announce that it plans to attend this year's Future of Financial Services Conference in Hong Kong. The one-day conference will take place on the 4th of June this year and will bring together 250 of the country's most esteemed technology and business luminaries from leading banks and institutions in the region.

Radford Taylor Partners prides itself on offering its clients a truly customer centric experience and is always looking for ways to improve on what it deems to be an essential business value.

The conference will tackle a range of topical issues including regulation changes within the industry, digital banking, data analytics and customer centricity.

The event promises to deliver interactive panel discussions alongside keynotes from executives in the banking and insurance sectors. Attendees will be given the chance to discuss the themes of the conference and network at an executive networking lunch.

"As our industry faces increasing challenges due to the shifting economic landscape in the face of global trade tensions and political uncertainty, we welcome any opportunity to network with our peers and to discuss ways in which to deal with these challenges. It has been our experience that the connections and relationships established at conferences like this event are extremely valuable in future business dealings," says Mr. Yi Lung, Head of Public Relations at Radford Taylor Partners.

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Warrington Shaw to Attend FundForum Asia

TAIPEI, Taiwan -- Taipei, Taiwan based Warrington Shaw is pleased to announce that it plans to attend this year's Asia FundForum which will take place in Hong Kong. The three-day event will run from the 14th to the 16th of October and forms part of one the world's leading investment management events, the FundForum Series.

FundForum Asia is an opportunity for investment managers to meet and network with people in the industry and showcase company brands.

This year. FundForum Asia will bring together more than 150 CEOs and senior business people who will share knowledge and experience with attendees.

"Last year's event was a resounding success that was attended by industry giants and experts in the sector. Unfortunately, we were unable to attend the 2018 conference and we are very excited to be sending a group of Warrington Shaw representatives to such a well-known and informative event this year. FundForum Asia is an excellent opportunity for our firm to participate in and benefit from the conversation around the future of asset and investment management in Asia," says Ms. An Tsao Head of Public Relations at Warrington Shaw.

The event promises to tackle the unique challenges facing Asian investors, address client needs and discuss the increasing use of technology and its benefits.

FundForum Asia is one of several conferences that Warrington Shaw plans to attend during the course of this year.

"Conferences of this caliber are an incredible opportunity to network and gain knowledge about industry trends and we look forward to passing on the knowledge gained to our valued clients," says Ms. Tsao.

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Ward Henderson Management to Celebrate World Intellectual Property Day

TAIPEI, Taiwan -- Taiwan-based investment house, Ward Henderson Management is pleased to announce that it will hold a photography competition to celebrate World Intellectual Property Day. World Intellectual Property Day is observed by the United Nations to create awareness about how intellectual property promotes innovation and creativity.

Each year, the United Nations chooses a theme to promote the cause and create public awareness around the topic. This year, the campaign for World Intellectual Property Day is "Reach for Gold" and it focuses on sports and the global values they stand for.

The World Intellectual Property Organization encourages organizations and individuals to embrace each year's theme and use it to create public awareness around the importance of Intellectual Property.

This year, Ward Henderson Management will hold a photography competition for amateur photographers. The theme of the competition will be Sports and Innovation and entrants will be encouraged to submit entries that show how innovation has helped the development of sports and their accessibility to anyone, anywhere.

"We are proud to be holding a competition to celebrate World Intellectual Property Day this year. Sports have become a massive universal industry, one that stimulates investment, creates millions of jobs and promotes fair competition and integrity. We hope that entrants will be imaginative with their choice of photographic subject for the competition and that they will select based on an aspect of the theme that personally resonates with them," says John Maxwell, Head of Public Relations at Ward Henderson Management.

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